I agree but too many serious people are hinting we are very close I can't ignore it anymore.
Sure, when Sam Altman / Zuckerberg say we're close I don't know if I can believe him because obviously the dudes will say anything to sell/pump the stock price.
But how about Demis Hassabis ? He doesn't strike me like that at all. Same for Geoff Hinton, Bengio and a couple of others.
People investing their lives in the field are inherently biased. This is not to diminish them, it’s just a fact of the matter. Nobody knows how general intelligence really works, nor even how to reliably test for it, so it’s all speculation.
